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Why Prediction Markets Aren't Truly Permissionless—And How Melee Wants to Change That

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Prediction markets have long been described as one of the most powerful ways to measure public opinion. Instead of answering surveys, participants put money behind their beliefs. Will Bitcoin finish the month above $150,000? Will GTA 6 launch this year? Will a political candidate win an election? In theory, prediction markets can exist for almost anything. In practice, they don't. That's because most prediction market infrastructure was never designed for a world where anyone could create a market. Melee believes that needs to change. The Hidden Problem With Prediction Markets Most prediction markets today rely on a Central Limit Order Book (CLOB) . Just like a traditional stock exchange, buyers and sellers place orders, and the market matches them. The system works well for popular events with plenty of traders. The problem begins when nobody is there to provide liquidity. Without active buyers, sellers and professional market makers, many prediction markets st...

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